GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/16/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

HK Kopavogur are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Fram Reykjavik are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Fram Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fram Reykjavik

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HK KopavogurWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Fram ReykjavikDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
HK KopavogurFram Reykjavik
50.6Attack83.3
32.1Defence37.0
33.3Form68.5
40.4Power63.2
1.97xG3.44
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