HJS Akatemiavs
Ilves II
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · 9/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HJS Akatemia 1-5 Ilves II
Original prediction
Ilves II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.0% | 32.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 19.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.7% | 47.6% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Ilves II
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40