Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
HJK W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while KuPS W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK W
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
9.2%
HJK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40