Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 4-0 (10%), 5-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HJK W 3-3 Ilves W
Original prediction
HJK W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.5–19%
Predicted outcome
HJK W
Probability
88.2%
Model confidence
88.2%
HJK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HJK WLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ilves WLDWLL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HJK WIlves W
87.0Attack56.5
65.2Defence29.0
79.7Form37.7
75.8Power42.3
4.50xG1.00