Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HJK W 0-2 Brann W
Original prediction
Brann W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.40 | 12.2% | 35.2% | 23.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.98 | 18.1% | 25.4% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 69.7% | 39.4% | -30.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Brann W
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Brann W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HJK WWWWDL
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Brann WWWLWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
HJK WBrann W
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence16.7
50.0Form16.7
50.0Power26.2
2.12xG1.29