HJKvs
Åland United
SCHEDULEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
HJK W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Åland United W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
9.3%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60