HJKvs
Åland United
COMPLETEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 4/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
HJK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Åland United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
9.3%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60