HJKvs
IF Gnistan
COMPLETEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 5/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
HJK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF Gnistan are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
91.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.75/2.50