Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
HJK are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HPS W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
13.1%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60