HJK Helsinkivs
VPS
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 10/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK Helsinki · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: HJK Helsinki 0-0 VPS, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
HJK Helsinki 6-0 VPS
Original prediction
HJK Helsinki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 60.6% | 43.3% | -17.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.4% | 29.2% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 5.42 | 17.0% | 27.5% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Projected Score
HJK Helsinki 0–0 VPS
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
HJK Helsinki
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
HJK Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HJK HelsinkiDDWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VPSLLWLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
HJK HelsinkiVPS
52.0Attack40.0
61.3Defence66.7
56.0Form48.0
57.0Power52.8
1.13xG0.84