HJK Helsinkivs
Qarabag
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/17/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qarabag · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
HJK Helsinki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Qarabag are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Qarabag holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Qarabag
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Qarabag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20