GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HJK Helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HJK Helsinki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Larne are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK Helsinki hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the UEFA Champions League, while HJK Helsinki holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HJK Helsinki

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

HJK Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HJK HelsinkiLDDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LarneWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 1 · avg 3.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
HJK HelsinkiLarne
33.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence16.7
58.3Form50.0
55.9Power34.9
1.84xG0.93
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