HJK Helsinkivs
KuPS
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK Helsinki · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HJK Helsinki 2-2 KuPS
Original prediction
HJK Helsinki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.9% | 41.0% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.5% | 28.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.6% | 30.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
HJK Helsinki
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
HJK Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60