VeikkausliigaVeikkausliiga
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:05
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki

Home
L
04
Full time
KuPS

KuPS

Away
LW
Bolt Arena
GoalVio prediction
60% confidence
HJK Helsinki(60%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: KuPS
Win probability
HJK Helsinki
60%
Draw
21%
KuPS
20%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
HJK Helsinki
9
KuPS
73
Defence
HJK Helsinki
27
KuPS
46
Momentum
HJK Helsinki
0
KuPS
50
Danger (xG)
HJK Helsinki
0.00
KuPS
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (HJK Helsinki)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (KuPS)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (HJK Helsinki)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (KuPS)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
LWLDW
KuPSKuPS
LWWDD

Probability breakdown

60% confidence
HJK Helsinki60%
Draw21%
KuPS20%

HJK Helsinki leads with 60% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

HJK Helsinki head into this in Veikkausliiga fixture at Bolt Arena in mixed form (L), while KuPS arrive in mixed form (LW). HJK Helsinki have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for KuPS over 2 games.

Tactically, KuPS hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable HJK Helsinki defence (27/100), while HJK Helsinki's attack faces a average KuPS backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

HJK Helsinki have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game at home. KuPS have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per away game.

KuPS have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects HJK Helsinki to win with 60% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: HJK Helsinki 6010%, Draw 2050%, KuPS 1950%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

HJK Helsinki 0Draws 01 KuPS
Avg goals: 4.0
27 Jun 2026
HJK Helsinki
L04
KuPS

Recent form

HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki

L
@ Lahti
11 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Ilves
1 Jul 2026
21
L
vs KuPS
27 Jun 2026
04
D
vs Ilves
16 May 2026
22
W
@ Rops
13 May 2026
40
KuPS

KuPS

L
vs Vardar Skopje
14 Jul 2026
23
W
@ Vardar Skopje
7 Jul 2026
20
W
@ HJK Helsinki
27 Jun 2026
40
D
vs VPS
10 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Mariehamn
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

GoalVio's model predicts HJK Helsinki to win with 60% confidence.

What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more