GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 5/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

HJK helsinki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Lahti are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK helsinki hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

18.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HJK helsinkiDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC LahtiWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HJK helsinkiFC Lahti
50.9Attack38.6
59.6Defence71.9
54.4Form45.6
55.3Power52.7
0.93xG0.84
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