HJK helsinkivs
FC Lahti
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 5/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
HJK helsinki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Lahti are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK helsinki hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
18.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60