Hitchin Townvs
Stamford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hitchin Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hitchin Town 3-0 Stamford
Original prediction
Hitchin Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.7% | 53.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.9% | 25.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.4% | 21.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Hitchin Town
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Hitchin Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60