Hitchin Townvs
Peterborough Sports
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough Sports · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hitchin Town 0-1 Peterborough Sports
Original prediction
Peterborough Sports
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.4% | 18.1% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.4% | 21.4% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.2% | 60.5% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough Sports
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Peterborough Sports has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00