Hitchin Townvs
Bury Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hitchin Town 0-2 Bury Town, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hitchin Town 5-1 Bury Town
Original prediction
Bury Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 26.9% | 12.7% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 18.9% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.3% | 68.4% | 21.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.1 pts
Projected Score
Hitchin Town 0–2 Bury Town
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Bury Town
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Bury Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20