Hiska Nacionalvs
Chaco
COMPLETEDBolivia · Nacional B · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hiska Nacional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hiska Nacional 4-2 Chaco
Original prediction
Hiska Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.5% | 57.3% | -17.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.85 | 15.5% | 21.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 9.10 | 10.0% | 21.2% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hiska Nacional
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Hiska Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60