Hirnykvs
Kolos Kovalivka
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hirnyk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hirnyk 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hirnyk 2-2 Kolos Kovalivka
Original prediction
Hirnyk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.6% | 43.6% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.4% | 29.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 40.0% | 26.5% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Projected Score
Hirnyk 1–0 Kolos Kovalivka
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Hirnyk
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Hirnyk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HirnykLWDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kolos KovalivkaDWLWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HirnykKolos Kovalivka
66.7Attack24.4
83.3Defence65.6
100.0Form35.6
86.5Power43.6
1.23xG0.48