Hirnyk-Sportvs
Yarud Mariupol'
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/7/2023, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarud Mariupol' · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Hirnyk-Sport are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Yarud Mariupol' are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yarud Mariupol' hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Persha Liga, while Yarud Mariupol' holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yarud Mariupol'
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Yarud Mariupol' has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 21 · avg 0.40/4.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00