GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/28/2024, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hirnyk-Sport are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Trostianets are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hirnyk-SportWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrostianetsDDDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hirnyk-SportTrostianets
35.2Attack33.3
63.0Defence83.3
48.1Form50.0
51.4Power56.2
1.02xG0.96
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