GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/3/2025, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hirnyk-Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hirnyk-Sport are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hirnyk-Sport hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Druha Liga, while Hirnyk-Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hirnyk-Sport

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Hirnyk-Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hirnyk-SportLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv KyivLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hirnyk-SportLokomotiv Kyiv
35.2Attack44.9
63.0Defence44.9
48.1Form38.5
51.4Power43.7
1.28xG0.90
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