GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/25/2024, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Hirnyk-Sport are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hirnyk-SportLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChernihivDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hirnyk-SportChernihiv
35.2Attack55.6
63.0Defence85.2
48.1Form70.4
51.4Power69.9
0.59xG1.20
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