Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 2-4 (7%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hinna 4-2 Viking II
Original prediction
Viking II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.1% | 20.6% | -19.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.4% | 14.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.5% | 65.5% | 24.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Viking II
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Viking II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HinnaLLWDL
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Viking IIWLLDW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HinnaViking II
60.9Attack82.6
2.9Defence50.7
33.3Form50.7
33.9Power58.2
1.94xG4.50