Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hinna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hinna are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Våg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hinna hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the 3. Division - Girone 4, while Hinna holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hinna
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
7.6%
Hinna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80