Hinnavs
Staal Jørpeland
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hinna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hinna 2-4 Staal Jørpeland
Original prediction
Hinna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.5% | 45.8% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.9% | 23.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.6% | 30.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hinna
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Hinna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20