Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hinna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
7%
LowconfidenceHinna are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Flekkerøy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and hinna hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the 3. Division - Girone 4, favouring Hinna with 7.5% confidence, a 79% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hinna
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Hinna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HinnaLWLLW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FlekkerøyLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HinnaFlekkerøy
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
3.08xG1.78