Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hillerød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hillerød are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Naestved are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hillerød hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 32.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hillerød holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hillerød
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Hillerød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40