Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Hillerød

Hillerød

Home
D
01
Full time
Lyngby

Lyngby

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Lyngby34%
Hillerød31%
Win probability
Hillerød
31%
Draw
35%
Lyngby
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hillerød
34
Lyngby
94
Defence
Hillerød
66
Lyngby
91
Momentum
Hillerød
33
Lyngby
100
Danger (xG)
Hillerød
0.90
Lyngby
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.10 xG for Hillerød and 1.52 xG for Lyngby — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.42), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.62 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Hillerød's Defensive Stability (66) and Lyngby's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Hillerød)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Lyngby)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Hillerød)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Lyngby)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HillerødHillerød
D
LyngbyLyngby
WW

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Hillerød31%
Draw35%
Lyngby34%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Hillerød vs Lyngby: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Hillerød host Lyngby in Friendlies Clubs. Hillerød have recorded LWLDLL in recent matches while Lyngby arrive with a run of LLWWWL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.10 for Hillerød and 1.52 for Lyngby. The gap of 0.42 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Hillerød

Hillerød

D
vs Esbjerg
16 May 2026
11
Lyngby

Lyngby

W
@ Osters IF
10 Jul 2026
30
W
@ Kolding IF
15 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hillerød vs Lyngby?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hillerød vs Lyngby?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Hillerød vs Lyngby?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hillerød vs Lyngby?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more