Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hillerød 3-1 Hobro
Original prediction
Hobro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.6% | 28.1% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.3% | 24.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.1% | 47.3% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Hobro
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HillerødWLDLW
GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HobroWWWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HillerødHobro
46.7Attack53.3
26.7Defence66.7
6.7Form80.0
30.2Power70.4
1.13xG1.94