Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hillerød are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hobro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobro hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the 1. Division, while Hobro holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hobro
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
11.7%
Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 10 · avg 3.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60