Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hillerød are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hobro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobro hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (31.2 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the 1. Division, while Hobro holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hobro
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00