Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hillerød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hillerød are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while HB Koge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hillerød hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 14.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the 1. Division, while Hillerød holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hillerød
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Hillerød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80