Hillerødvs
FC Fredericia
COMPLETEDDenmark · 1. Division · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Fredericia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hillerød 0-2 FC Fredericia
Original prediction
FC Fredericia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.70 | 16.1% | 24.5% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.7% | 26.3% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 64.2% | 49.2% | -15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Fredericia
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
FC Fredericia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20