Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hilden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hilden are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SW Essen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hilden hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, while Hilden holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hilden
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Hilden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40