HIKvs
Thisted FC
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HIK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HIK 1-1 Thisted FC
Original prediction
HIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.5% | 39.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 29.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.7% | 30.2% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
HIK
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
HIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HIKLDLLL
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Thisted FCLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HIKThisted FC
26.7Attack26.7
40.0Defence30.0
26.7Form13.3
34.5Power26.7
1.23xG0.85