Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
HIK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sundby are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HIK hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while HIK holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HIK
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
HIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80