Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HIK 1-1 Roskilde
Original prediction
Roskilde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.54 | 16.3% | 22.8% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.4% | 25.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.3% | 51.3% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HIKLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
RoskildeWDWWD
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HIKRoskilde
29.2Attack62.5
37.5Defence62.5
29.2Form58.3
35.3Power62.0
0.78xG2.11