Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HIK 2-1 Brabrand
Original prediction
HIK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.2% | 39.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.3% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.5% | 34.6% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
HIK
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
HIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HIKLWLWD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BrabrandDWWLL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HIKBrabrand
26.7Attack40.0
40.0Defence26.7
26.7Form26.7
34.5Power33.3
1.49xG1.32