HIFK Helsinkivs
HPS
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 9/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HIFK Helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HIFK Helsinki 1-1 HPS
Original prediction
HIFK Helsinki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.7% | 61.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 18.6% | 16.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.43 | 16.6% | 22.4% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
HIFK Helsinki
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
HIFK Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 18 · avg 2.60/3.60
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40