GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 5/3/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HIFK Elsinki are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Ykkönen, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turku PS

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HIFK ElsinkiDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Turku PSWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HIFK ElsinkiTurku PS
45.7Attack55.6
51.9Defence54.3
45.7Form50.6
49.0Power53.8
1.35xG1.52
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