HIFK Elsinkivs
MP
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 4/21/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MP · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
HIFK Elsinki are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while MP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Ykkönen, while MP holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MP
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
MP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.75/1.25
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40