HIFK Elsinkivs
Gnistan
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 4/14/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HIFK Elsinki are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gnistan are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Ykkönen, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 2.33/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50