Hiberniansvs
Zabbar St. Patrick
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernians · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernians 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick
Original prediction
Hibernians
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.0% | 42.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 28.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.8% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hibernians
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Hibernians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20