Hiberniansvs
Valletta FC
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernians 0-2 Valletta FC
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.4% | 32.5% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 28.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.1% | 39.4% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20