GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 9/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hibernians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hibernians are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Lucía are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hibernians hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Premier League, while Hibernians holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hibernians

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Hibernians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HiberniansWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Santa LucíaL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/4.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
HiberniansSanta Lucía
37.2Attack32.1
64.1Defence47.4
44.9Form38.5
50.1Power41.5
1.28xG0.61
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