Hiberniansvs
Gzira United
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernians · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hibernians 1-0 Gzira United, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernians 2-1 Gzira United
Original prediction
Hibernians
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.8% | 50.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 26.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.6% | 22.4% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Hibernians 1–0 Gzira United
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hibernians
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Hibernians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HiberniansWDLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gzira UnitedDDDDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HiberniansGzira United
29.2Attack25.0
54.2Defence29.2
37.5Form16.7
42.4Power27.1
1.45xG0.71