Hiberniansvs
Floriana
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Floriana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernians 0-4 Floriana
Original prediction
Floriana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.08 | 22.0% | 27.1% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 26.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.2% | 46.4% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Floriana
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Floriana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80