Hiberniansvs
Birzebbuga
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernians · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernians 1-0 Birzebbuga
Original prediction
Hibernians
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.0% | 51.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 25.2% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.7% | 23.3% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Hibernians
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Hibernians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40