Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hibernian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while ST Mirren are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Premiership, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60